Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jiangxi Ganneng Co., Ltd. (000899.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$98.36 - $192.66$180.55
Multi-Stage$30.21 - $33.05$31.60
Blended Fair Value$106.08
Current Price$9.19
Upside1,054.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.47%19.95%0.410.230.120.190.180.230.120.410.520.27
YoY Growth--80.88%83.05%-35.39%5.68%-20.41%94.20%-71.62%-20.09%91.18%307.07%
Dividend Yield--4.56%2.84%1.46%3.88%2.71%5.26%2.02%8.11%5.30%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)945.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)509.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)189.15118.2270.93
Cash Retained (M)436.43436.43436.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-189.15-118.22-70.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.28318.21365.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)976.27976.27976.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.330.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.330.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$98.36$180.55$192.66
Upside / Downside970.29%1,864.63%1,996.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)945.761,007.231,072.701,142.431,216.681,295.771,334.64
Payout Ratio53.85%61.08%68.31%75.54%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)509.33615.25732.79863.011,007.061,166.191,234.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)573.18578.61584.05
Year 2 PV (M)636.01648.12660.35
Year 3 PV (M)697.81717.85738.26
Year 4 PV (M)758.62787.79817.80
Year 5 PV (M)818.43857.96899.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,008.0527,264.2528,568.53
Equity Value (M)29,492.0930,854.5732,267.97
Shares Outstanding (M)976.27976.27976.27
Fair Value$30.21$31.60$33.05
Upside / Downside228.71%243.90%259.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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