Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai (000651.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.51 - $159.52$115.74
Multi-Stage$130.11 - $142.96$136.41
Blended Fair Value$126.08
Current Price$39.72
Upside217.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.79%12.44%2.732.483.343.032.502.380.162.011.661.73
YoY Growth--10.20%-25.62%9.95%21.18%5.05%1,425.00%-92.24%21.15%-3.62%103.70%
Dividend Yield--6.02%6.19%9.08%9.40%3.99%4.57%0.33%4.30%5.25%8.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,685.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,732.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,952.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,337.003,960.632,376.38
Cash Retained (M)24,952.1724,952.1724,952.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,337.00-3,960.63-2,376.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,615.1720,991.5522,575.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,520.365,520.365,520.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.373.804.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.221.221.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.373.804.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.595.025.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate1.22%2.22%3.22%
Fair Value$85.51$115.74$159.52
Upside / Downside115.28%191.40%301.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,685.0132,389.2033,109.0333,844.8634,597.0535,365.9636,426.93
Payout Ratio21.25%35.00%48.75%62.50%76.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,732.8411,336.0316,140.5121,152.9426,380.2031,829.3633,694.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate1.22%2.22%3.22%
Year 1 PV (M)10,524.4210,628.3910,732.37
Year 2 PV (M)13,912.0614,188.3014,467.25
Year 3 PV (M)16,927.0817,433.7417,950.40
Year 4 PV (M)19,598.6720,384.7021,194.14
Year 5 PV (M)21,953.9923,060.0824,210.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)635,340.33667,349.94700,636.91
Equity Value (M)718,256.56753,045.15789,191.37
Shares Outstanding (M)5,520.365,520.365,520.36
Fair Value$130.11$136.41$142.96
Upside / Downside227.57%243.44%259.92%

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