Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$78.19 - $196.63$117.61
Multi-Stage$310.70 - $343.10$326.57
Blended Fair Value$222.09
Current Price$95.00
Upside133.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,916.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,430.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,486.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,183.311,364.57818.74
Cash Retained (M)2,486.472,486.472,486.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,183.31-1,364.57-818.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.161,121.901,667.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,905.152,905.152,905.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.390.57
LTM Dividend per Share2.902.902.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.390.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.013.293.48
WACC / Discount Rate1.77%1.77%1.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$78.19$117.61$196.63
Upside / Downside-17.69%23.80%106.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,916.5410,807.3810,699.3010,592.3110,486.3910,381.5210,692.97
Payout Ratio77.22%79.78%82.33%84.89%87.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,430.078,621.958,809.148,991.729,169.789,343.379,891.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.77%1.77%1.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,386.608,472.188,557.76
Year 2 PV (M)8,334.808,505.768,678.47
Year 3 PV (M)8,275.338,531.258,792.40
Year 4 PV (M)8,208.858,549.078,899.75
Year 5 PV (M)8,135.948,559.609,000.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)861,279.94906,128.78952,826.78
Equity Value (M)902,621.47948,746.65996,755.88
Shares Outstanding (M)2,905.152,905.152,905.15
Fair Value$310.70$326.57$343.10
Upside / Downside227.05%243.76%261.16%

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