Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$186.54 - $320.29$244.31
Multi-Stage$186.55 - $204.29$195.25
Blended Fair Value$219.78
Current Price$210.45
Upside4.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.30%0.41%1.061.041.021.001.000.990.990.980.980.97
YoY Growth--1.71%1.98%1.42%0.75%0.63%0.57%0.69%0.35%0.25%-4.15%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.47%1.15%2.86%3.38%3.36%2.01%3.91%3.40%2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)175.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)162.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.0821.9213.15
Cash Retained (M)162.56162.56162.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.08-21.92-13.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)127.49140.64149.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.1712.1712.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.4711.5512.27
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.4711.5512.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5212.6013.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate3.25%4.25%5.25%
Fair Value$186.54$244.31$320.29
Upside / Downside-11.36%16.09%52.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)175.38182.84190.61198.72207.17215.98222.46
Payout Ratio7.31%23.85%40.39%56.92%73.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.8243.6076.98113.12152.19194.38205.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate3.25%4.25%5.25%
Year 1 PV (M)39.3939.7740.15
Year 2 PV (M)62.8264.0565.28
Year 3 PV (M)83.4085.8588.34
Year 4 PV (M)101.37105.35109.45
Year 5 PV (M)116.96122.74128.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,867.151,959.342,055.13
Equity Value (M)2,271.102,377.092,487.09
Shares Outstanding (M)12.1712.1712.17
Fair Value$186.55$195.25$204.29
Upside / Downside-11.36%-7.22%-2.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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