Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

HNI Corporation (HNI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.97 - $55.73$43.66
Multi-Stage$43.48 - $47.59$45.49
Blended Fair Value$44.58
Current Price$46.10
Upside-3.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.02%3.68%1.331.231.121.131.091.101.071.041.020.97
YoY Growth--8.72%9.96%-1.02%3.17%-0.26%2.25%3.08%2.19%4.68%4.51%
Dividend Yield--2.99%2.72%4.01%3.05%2.76%4.37%2.95%2.88%2.21%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)141.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)78.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.3217.7010.62
Cash Retained (M)78.4078.4078.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.32-17.70-10.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.0860.7067.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.6847.6847.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.051.271.42
LTM Dividend per Share1.331.331.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.051.271.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.382.602.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.79%8.79%8.79%
Growth Rate1.68%2.68%3.68%
Fair Value$33.97$43.66$55.73
Upside / Downside-26.31%-5.28%20.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)141.60145.39149.28153.27157.38161.59166.43
Payout Ratio44.63%53.71%62.78%71.85%80.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.2078.0893.72110.13127.36145.43153.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.79%8.79%8.79%
Growth Rate1.68%2.68%3.68%
Year 1 PV (M)71.0871.7872.47
Year 2 PV (M)77.6579.1980.74
Year 3 PV (M)83.0785.5488.07
Year 4 PV (M)87.4490.9394.53
Year 5 PV (M)90.8995.45100.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,662.581,745.961,832.66
Equity Value (M)2,072.712,168.852,268.65
Shares Outstanding (M)47.6847.6847.68
Fair Value$43.48$45.49$47.59
Upside / Downside-5.69%-1.32%3.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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