Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Globe Life Inc. (GL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.49 - $406.94$292.21
Multi-Stage$234.46 - $257.16$245.60
Blended Fair Value$268.90
Current Price$142.97
Upside88.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.88%2.78%1.021.010.960.960.940.890.860.820.800.80
YoY Growth--1.63%4.43%0.63%2.37%5.40%3.87%3.76%2.84%0.05%2.91%
Dividend Yield--0.78%0.88%0.88%0.95%0.97%1.23%1.02%0.98%1.04%1.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,150.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,065.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230.07143.7986.28
Cash Retained (M)1,065.761,065.761,065.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-230.07-143.79-86.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)835.69921.97979.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.5183.5183.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.0111.0411.73
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.0111.0411.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.0212.0512.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate2.79%3.79%4.79%
Fair Value$214.49$292.21$406.94
Upside / Downside50.02%104.38%184.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,150.351,193.901,239.101,286.021,334.701,385.241,426.79
Payout Ratio7.35%23.88%40.41%56.94%73.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.59285.13500.75732.27980.621,246.711,319.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate2.79%3.79%4.79%
Year 1 PV (M)261.31263.85266.39
Year 2 PV (M)420.55428.78437.08
Year 3 PV (M)563.61580.22597.16
Year 4 PV (M)691.68719.00747.11
Year 5 PV (M)805.89845.86887.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,836.7517,671.8618,539.79
Equity Value (M)19,579.7920,509.5721,474.93
Shares Outstanding (M)83.5183.5183.51
Fair Value$234.46$245.60$257.16
Upside / Downside63.99%71.78%79.87%

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