Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CCR S.A. (CCRO3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.64 - $97.17$37.86
Multi-Stage$37.58 - $41.30$39.41
Blended Fair Value$38.63
Current Price$11.50
Upside235.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.44%-6.07%0.370.190.380.140.480.760.600.630.620.52
YoY Growth--95.78%-50.28%179.48%-71.71%-36.86%27.13%-4.79%1.80%19.02%-24.96%
Dividend Yield--3.22%1.45%3.16%1.09%4.13%7.49%6.20%6.64%4.54%5.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,452.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)967.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)485.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290.57181.60108.96
Cash Retained (M)485.65485.65485.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-290.57-181.60-108.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)195.08304.05376.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,020.002,020.002,020.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.150.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.150.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate4.72%4.72%4.72%
Growth Rate2.01%3.01%4.01%
Fair Value$21.64$37.86$97.17
Upside / Downside88.19%229.25%744.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,452.841,496.561,541.611,588.001,635.801,685.031,735.58
Payout Ratio66.57%71.26%75.94%80.63%85.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)967.191,066.421,170.751,280.391,395.571,516.531,605.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.72%4.72%4.72%
Growth Rate2.01%3.01%4.01%
Year 1 PV (M)1,008.451,018.341,028.22
Year 2 PV (M)1,046.931,067.551,088.38
Year 3 PV (M)1,082.731,114.891,147.67
Year 4 PV (M)1,115.981,160.391,206.11
Year 5 PV (M)1,146.781,204.111,263.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,509.1474,033.5777,697.54
Equity Value (M)75,910.0279,598.8483,431.63
Shares Outstanding (M)2,020.002,020.002,020.00
Fair Value$37.58$39.41$41.30
Upside / Downside226.78%242.66%259.15%

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