Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Arezzo Indústria e Comércio S.A. (ARZZ3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$653.98 - $770.50$722.07
Multi-Stage$456.86 - $501.20$478.62
Blended Fair Value$600.35
Current Price$51.09
Upside1,075.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS32.05%24.28%2.621.590.281.511.270.651.250.260.400.28
YoY Growth--64.90%458.51%-81.19%19.14%94.49%-47.96%373.31%-33.18%40.26%-5.17%
Dividend Yield--4.20%2.53%0.33%2.25%3.64%1.38%2.77%0.99%2.07%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)438.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)296.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)141.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.6354.7732.86
Cash Retained (M)141.85141.85141.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.63-54.77-32.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.2287.08108.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.09113.09113.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.770.96
LTM Dividend per Share2.622.622.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.770.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.103.393.58
WACC / Discount Rate1.89%1.89%1.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$653.98$722.07$770.50
Upside / Downside1,180.05%1,313.33%1,408.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)438.15466.63496.96529.26563.67600.30618.31
Payout Ratio67.63%72.10%76.58%81.05%85.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)296.30336.44380.55428.97482.08540.27571.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.89%1.89%1.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)327.11330.21333.31
Year 2 PV (M)359.72366.57373.49
Year 3 PV (M)394.24405.56417.09
Year 4 PV (M)430.75447.32464.36
Year 5 PV (M)469.36492.03515.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,686.6252,086.5054,578.23
Equity Value (M)51,667.7954,128.1856,682.04
Shares Outstanding (M)113.09113.09113.09
Fair Value$456.86$478.62$501.20
Upside / Downside794.24%836.82%881.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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