DDM Analysis: 6817.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4,380.05 - $12,128.00	$11,365.71
Multi-Stage	$1,756.94 - $1,919.40	$1,836.69
Blended Fair Value	$6,601.20
Current Price	$1,086.00
Upside	507.85%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.36%	14.36%	53.31	49.51	20.47	21.31	4.94	22.00	36.18	24.98	20.23	13.97
YoY Growth	-	-	7.66%	141.91%	-3.95%	331.71%	-77.56%	-39.18%	44.82%	23.51%	44.83%	0.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.51%	4.02%	1.23%	2.27%	0.46%	3.32%	2.27%	1.82%	1.22%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,026.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,750.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	276.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	405.20	253.25	151.95
Cash Retained (M)	276.00	276.00	276.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-405.20	-253.25	-151.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-129.20	22.75	124.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	33.22	33.22	33.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-3.89	0.68	3.73
LTM Dividend per Share	52.68	52.68	52.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-3.89	0.68	3.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	48.79	53.36	56.41
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4,380.05	$11,365.71	$12,128.00
Upside / Downside	303.32%	946.57%	1,016.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,026.00	2,157.69	2,297.94	2,447.31	2,606.38	2,775.80	2,859.07
Payout Ratio	86.38%	87.10%	87.83%	88.55%	89.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,750.00	1,879.38	2,018.19	2,167.11	2,326.86	2,498.22	2,644.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,745.24	1,761.78	1,778.33
Year 2 PV (M)	1,740.37	1,773.52	1,806.99
Year 3 PV (M)	1,735.40	1,785.22	1,835.98
Year 4 PV (M)	1,730.33	1,796.87	1,865.32
Year 5 PV (M)	1,725.16	1,808.48	1,895.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)	49,693.21	52,093.41	54,585.48
Equity Value (M)	58,369.72	61,019.30	63,767.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	33.22	33.22	33.22
Fair Value	$1,756.94	$1,836.69	$1,919.40
Upside / Downside	61.78%	69.12%	76.74%

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Sumida Corporation (6817.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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