Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dlg Exhibitions & Events Corporation Limited (600826.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.87 - $4.15$3.49
Multi-Stage$4.63 - $5.06$4.84
Blended Fair Value$4.17
Current Price$10.43
Upside-60.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.72%24.82%0.270.100.090.100.080.470.120.350.220.22
YoY Growth--178.96%2.41%-2.97%25.89%-83.74%284.58%-64.93%57.50%0.25%660.00%
Dividend Yield--3.46%1.48%1.35%1.56%1.26%6.30%1.42%3.63%1.20%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)285.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.1135.7021.42
Cash Retained (M)77.5477.5477.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.11-35.70-21.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.4341.8556.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)724.18724.18724.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.060.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate-1.33%-0.33%0.67%
Fair Value$2.87$3.49$4.15
Upside / Downside-72.47%-66.49%-60.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)285.57284.62283.68282.73281.79280.85289.28
Payout Ratio72.85%76.28%79.71%83.14%86.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.03217.10226.11235.06243.94252.77267.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate-1.33%-0.33%0.67%
Year 1 PV (M)196.27198.26200.24
Year 2 PV (M)184.79188.56192.36
Year 3 PV (M)173.67179.00184.44
Year 4 PV (M)162.93169.64176.55
Year 5 PV (M)152.62160.51168.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,482.862,611.262,744.91
Equity Value (M)3,353.133,507.223,667.23
Shares Outstanding (M)724.18724.18724.18
Fair Value$4.63$4.84$5.06
Upside / Downside-55.61%-53.57%-51.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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