Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Veolia Environnement S.A. (VIE.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212.93 - $584.65$547.91
Multi-Stage$85.55 - $93.43$89.42
Blended Fair Value$318.66
Current Price$30.25
Upside953.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.90%14.13%1.321.191.050.570.580.690.630.600.710.69
YoY Growth--11.29%13.16%84.13%-1.20%-16.32%10.05%5.21%-15.72%1.89%96.62%
Dividend Yield--4.88%4.19%4.38%1.77%2.99%3.02%3.62%2.91%4.53%3.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,168.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,108.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)60.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)433.62271.01162.61
Cash Retained (M)60.1060.1060.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-433.62-271.01-162.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-373.52-210.91-102.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)737.50737.50737.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.51-0.29-0.14
LTM Dividend per Share2.862.862.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.51-0.29-0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.352.572.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$212.93$547.91$584.65
Upside / Downside603.92%1,711.26%1,832.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,168.102,309.032,459.112,618.962,789.192,970.483,059.60
Payout Ratio97.23%95.78%94.34%92.89%91.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,108.002,211.642,319.852,432.782,550.592,673.442,830.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,053.972,073.442,092.91
Year 2 PV (M)2,000.872,038.982,077.45
Year 3 PV (M)1,948.692,004.632,061.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,897.411,970.382,045.43
Year 5 PV (M)1,847.011,936.222,028.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)53,346.2255,922.8758,598.12
Equity Value (M)63,094.1865,946.5268,904.39
Shares Outstanding (M)737.50737.50737.50
Fair Value$85.55$89.42$93.43
Upside / Downside182.82%195.60%208.86%

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