Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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360 Capital Mortgage REIT (TCF.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.31 - $222.28$208.30
Multi-Stage$30.72 - $33.56$32.11
Blended Fair Value$120.21
Current Price$6.00
Upside1,903.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS26.19%12.68%0.700.420.350.300.090.220.250.260.250.26
YoY Growth--65.18%21.57%17.43%237.66%-59.82%-13.42%-1.11%2.81%-4.34%22.45%
Dividend Yield--11.66%7.79%6.69%5.60%1.48%4.05%4.28%4.40%4.04%4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.020.640.38
Cash Retained (M)1.221.221.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.02-0.64-0.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.200.580.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.890.981.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71.31$208.30$222.28
Upside / Downside1,088.52%3,371.74%3,604.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.105.435.786.166.566.997.20
Payout Ratio76.18%78.94%81.71%84.47%87.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.894.294.735.205.726.296.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.984.014.05
Year 2 PV (M)4.064.144.22
Year 3 PV (M)4.154.274.39
Year 4 PV (M)4.234.404.56
Year 5 PV (M)4.314.524.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)119.43125.20131.19
Equity Value (M)140.16146.54153.15
Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
Fair Value$30.72$32.11$33.56
Upside / Downside411.95%435.23%459.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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