Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,336.91 - $2,433.82$1,792.32
Multi-Stage$1,207.64 - $1,317.01$1,261.34
Blended Fair Value$1,526.83
Current Price$484.00
Upside215.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.77%-3.39%8.737.236.140.040.005.237.009.1614.0847.40
YoY Growth--20.79%17.75%17,347.96%0.00%-100.00%-25.25%-23.58%-34.92%-70.30%284.71%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.65%0.78%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.86%1.07%1.60%5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,109,136.17693,210.11415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.262,857,905.262,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,109,136.17-693,210.11-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,748,769.092,164,695.152,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
LTM Dividend per Share43.9543.9543.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.5579.3583.88
WACC / Discount Rate10.16%10.16%10.16%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$1,336.91$1,792.32$2,433.82
Upside / Downside176.22%270.31%402.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,545,680.855,850,225.326,171,494.056,510,405.446,867,928.367,245,084.887,462,437.42
Payout Ratio48.47%56.77%65.08%73.39%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,687,775.593,321,341.714,016,387.594,777,754.965,610,631.926,520,576.396,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.16%10.16%10.16%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)2,986,383.003,014,963.133,043,543.27
Year 2 PV (M)3,247,128.723,309,577.153,372,620.36
Year 3 PV (M)3,473,119.333,573,791.493,676,390.49
Year 4 PV (M)3,667,241.893,809,654.263,956,174.69
Year 5 PV (M)3,832,178.334,019,094.514,213,234.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,643,726.1359,406,548.7362,276,141.12
Equity Value (M)73,849,777.4077,133,629.2680,538,104.03
Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
Fair Value$1,207.64$1,261.34$1,317.01
Upside / Downside149.51%160.61%172.11%

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