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Definitive Analysis

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ITE Tech. Inc (3014.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$392.90 - $1,887.54$851.42
Multi-Stage$222.46 - $242.65$232.37
Blended Fair Value$541.90
Current Price$133.50
Upside305.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.26%21.45%7.855.888.835.883.242.652.462.881.881.92
YoY Growth--33.33%-33.33%50.00%81.82%22.20%7.86%-14.85%53.42%-2.27%71.20%
Dividend Yield--5.62%3.51%9.83%5.25%3.33%6.76%6.99%7.39%5.32%6.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,558.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,494.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)311.78194.86116.92
Cash Retained (M)64.5764.5764.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-311.78-194.86-116.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)-247.21-130.29-52.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)164.25164.25164.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.51-0.79-0.32
LTM Dividend per Share9.109.109.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.51-0.79-0.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.598.308.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$392.90$851.42$1,887.54
Upside / Downside194.31%537.77%1,313.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,558.891,660.211,768.131,883.052,005.452,135.812,199.88
Payout Ratio95.86%94.69%93.51%92.34%91.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,494.321,572.001,653.461,738.871,828.401,922.232,034.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,448.071,461.791,475.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,403.041,429.761,456.74
Year 3 PV (M)1,359.191,398.211,437.97
Year 4 PV (M)1,316.511,367.141,419.21
Year 5 PV (M)1,274.951,336.531,400.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,736.4731,172.7632,664.01
Equity Value (M)36,538.2338,166.1939,853.91
Shares Outstanding (M)164.25164.25164.25
Fair Value$222.46$232.37$242.65
Upside / Downside66.64%74.06%81.76%

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