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Definitive Analysis

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Hankook Tire & Technology Co., Ltd. (161390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,300,285.51 - $1,531,956.64$1,435,667.72
Multi-Stage$1,061,359.72 - $1,164,917.54$1,112,171.25
Blended Fair Value$1,273,919.49
Current Price$39,750.00
Upside3,104.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.28%12.35%1,295.81802.72697.30647.49556.25455.13404.56438.22404.56404.54
YoY Growth--61.43%15.12%7.69%16.40%22.22%12.50%-7.68%8.32%0.00%0.01%
Dividend Yield--3.28%1.48%2.00%1.92%1.13%2.35%1.05%0.82%0.74%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)943,298.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243,977.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)699,320.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)188,659.64117,912.2870,747.37
Cash Retained (M)699,320.70699,320.70699,320.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-188,659.64-117,912.28-70,747.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)510,661.06581,408.43628,573.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)122.46122.46122.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,170.134,747.875,133.02
LTM Dividend per Share1,992.361,992.361,992.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,170.134,747.875,133.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,162.496,740.227,125.38
WACC / Discount Rate-1.41%-1.41%-1.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,300,285.51$1,435,667.72$1,531,956.64
Upside / Downside3,171.16%3,511.74%3,753.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)943,298.211,004,612.591,069,912.411,139,456.721,213,521.401,292,400.291,331,172.30
Payout Ratio25.86%38.69%51.52%64.35%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243,977.51388,699.10551,203.70733,191.64936,509.181,163,160.261,231,334.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.41%-1.41%-1.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)390,574.97394,277.10397,979.23
Year 2 PV (M)556,536.77567,137.23577,837.70
Year 3 PV (M)743,858.13765,211.62786,969.91
Year 4 PV (M)954,718.89991,434.691,029,199.43
Year 5 PV (M)1,191,499.611,249,049.491,308,801.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)126,133,472.99132,225,766.90138,551,227.24
Equity Value (M)129,970,661.37136,192,877.04142,652,015.45
Shares Outstanding (M)122.46122.46122.46
Fair Value$1,061,359.72$1,112,171.25$1,164,917.54
Upside / Downside2,570.09%2,697.92%2,830.61%

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