Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd (007570.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,555.29 - $3,404.00$2,994.72
Multi-Stage$5,964.33 - $6,597.00$6,274.04
Blended Fair Value$4,634.38
Current Price$13,710.00
Upside-66.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.55%-7.61%165.42215.56219.26487.96272.61323.43110.05292.52196.23115.22
YoY Growth---23.26%-1.69%-55.07%79.00%-15.71%193.89%-62.38%49.07%70.32%-68.44%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.46%1.30%1.80%0.82%0.78%0.38%0.72%0.52%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,262.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,784.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,477.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,252.401,407.75844.65
Cash Retained (M)7,477.207,477.207,477.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,252.40-1,407.75-844.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,224.796,069.446,632.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.9817.9817.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share290.59337.57368.89
LTM Dividend per Share210.50210.50210.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share290.59337.57368.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend501.10548.08579.39
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate-9.61%-8.61%-7.61%
Fair Value$2,555.29$2,994.72$3,404.00
Upside / Downside-81.36%-78.16%-75.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,262.0210,292.339,406.138,596.247,856.087,179.657,395.04
Payout Ratio33.61%44.89%56.16%67.44%78.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,784.824,619.775,282.885,797.546,184.426,461.696,840.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate-9.61%-8.61%-7.61%
Year 1 PV (M)4,226.254,273.004,319.76
Year 2 PV (M)4,421.194,519.554,619.00
Year 3 PV (M)4,438.614,587.564,739.81
Year 4 PV (M)4,331.474,526.364,727.75
Year 5 PV (M)4,140.164,374.304,618.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)85,679.4590,524.9295,587.19
Equity Value (M)107,237.12112,805.70118,612.42
Shares Outstanding (M)17.9817.9817.98
Fair Value$5,964.33$6,274.04$6,597.00
Upside / Downside-56.50%-54.24%-51.88%

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