DDM Analysis: WYNN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$36.77 - $53.81	$44.99
Multi-Stage	$52.36 - $57.37	$54.82
Blended Fair Value	$49.91
Current Price	$128.27
Upside	-61.09%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-24.44%	-17.39%	1.32	0.80	0.01	0.01	1.03	5.35	5.38	3.03	3.07	4.72
YoY Growth	-	-	64.71%	5,763.88%	-6.95%	-98.57%	-80.80%	-0.57%	77.63%	-1.37%	-34.84%	-47.07%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.58%	0.75%	0.01%	0.02%	0.82%	8.89%	4.16%	1.66%	2.68%	5.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	504.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	176.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)	327.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	100.86	63.03	37.82
Cash Retained (M)	327.90	327.90	327.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-100.86	-63.03	-37.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	227.04	264.86	290.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	105.85	105.85	105.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.14	2.50	2.74
LTM Dividend per Share	1.67	1.67	1.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.14	2.50	2.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.81	4.17	4.41
WACC / Discount Rate	9.83%	9.83%	9.83%
Growth Rate	-0.48%	0.52%	1.52%
Fair Value	$36.77	$44.99	$53.81
Upside / Downside	-71.33%	-64.93%	-58.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	504.28	506.88	509.50	512.14	514.79	517.45	532.97
Payout Ratio	34.98%	45.98%	56.99%	67.99%	79.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	176.38	233.07	290.35	348.21	406.66	465.70	493.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.83%	9.83%	9.83%
Growth Rate	-0.48%	0.52%	1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)	210.10	212.21	214.32
Year 2 PV (M)	235.93	240.70	245.51
Year 3 PV (M)	255.06	262.83	270.75
Year 4 PV (M)	268.52	279.47	290.76
Year 5 PV (M)	277.20	291.40	306.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,296.17	4,516.40	4,745.58
Equity Value (M)	5,542.98	5,803.02	6,073.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	105.85	105.85	105.85
Fair Value	$52.36	$54.82	$57.37
Upside / Downside	-59.18%	-57.26%	-55.27%

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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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