DDM Analysis: WWD

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$165.98 - $430.90	$252.11
Multi-Stage	$113.03 - $123.56	$118.20
Blended Fair Value	$185.15
Current Price	$252.71
Upside	-26.73%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	11.52%	10.18%	1.06	0.95	0.83	0.73	0.59	0.61	0.64	0.55	0.48	0.43
YoY Growth	-	-	11.48%	14.23%	13.45%	24.80%	-4.31%	-3.59%	14.89%	14.32%	11.80%	7.95%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.42%	0.57%	0.61%	0.76%	0.54%	0.50%	0.54%	0.75%	0.63%	0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	442.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	64.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	377.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	88.42	55.26	33.16
Cash Retained (M)	377.14	377.14	377.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-88.42	-55.26	-33.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)	288.71	321.87	343.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	61.39	61.39	61.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.70	5.24	5.60
LTM Dividend per Share	1.06	1.06	1.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.70	5.24	5.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.76	6.30	6.66
WACC / Discount Rate	9.16%	9.16%	9.16%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$165.98	$252.11	$430.90
Upside / Downside	-34.32%	-0.24%	70.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	442.11	470.85	501.45	534.05	568.76	605.73	623.90
Payout Ratio	14.70%	29.76%	44.82%	59.88%	74.94%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	64.98	140.11	224.74	319.78	426.23	545.16	577.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.16%	9.16%	9.16%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	127.15	128.35	129.56
Year 2 PV (M)	185.07	188.60	192.16
Year 3 PV (M)	238.97	245.83	252.82
Year 4 PV (M)	289.05	300.16	311.60
Year 5 PV (M)	335.49	351.70	368.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,763.85	6,042.24	6,331.30
Equity Value (M)	6,939.58	7,256.89	7,585.95
Shares Outstanding (M)	61.39	61.39	61.39
Fair Value	$113.03	$118.20	$123.56
Upside / Downside	-55.27%	-53.23%	-51.11%

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Woodward, Inc. (WWD)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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