DDM Analysis: WPK.TO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.47 - $82.04	$55.64
Multi-Stage	$60.82 - $66.63	$63.67
Blended Fair Value	$59.65
Current Price	$32.79
Upside	81.92%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.51%	-20.50%	0.11	0.09	0.10	2.65	0.09	0.09	0.10	0.10	0.09	1.28
YoY Growth	-	-	14.47%	-4.13%	-96.36%	2,771.46%	-1.40%	-3.40%	1.37%	1.89%	-92.68%	22.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.39%	0.31%	0.31%	8.65%	0.26%	0.30%	0.30%	0.26%	0.24%	3.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	139.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	139.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.98	17.49	10.49
Cash Retained (M)	0.78	0.78	0.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.98	-17.49	-10.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-27.20	-16.71	-9.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	62.38	62.38	62.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.44	-0.27	-0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	2.23	2.23	2.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.44	-0.27	-0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.79	1.96	2.07
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	1.70%	2.70%	3.70%
Fair Value	$39.47	$55.64	$82.04
Upside / Downside	20.39%	69.68%	150.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	139.89	143.66	147.53	151.51	155.59	159.78	164.58
Payout Ratio	99.45%	97.56%	95.67%	93.78%	91.89%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	139.11	140.15	141.14	142.08	142.97	143.81	152.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	1.70%	2.70%	3.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	130.54	131.82	133.11
Year 2 PV (M)	122.45	124.87	127.31
Year 3 PV (M)	114.81	118.23	121.72
Year 4 PV (M)	107.61	111.90	116.32
Year 5 PV (M)	100.81	105.87	111.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,217.46	3,378.79	3,546.53
Equity Value (M)	3,793.67	3,971.48	4,156.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	62.38	62.38	62.38
Fair Value	$60.82	$63.67	$66.63
Upside / Downside	85.47%	94.16%	103.19%

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Winpak Ltd. (WPK.TO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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