DDM Analysis: WMT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.42 - $70.52	$52.49
Multi-Stage	$55.52 - $60.93	$58.17
Blended Fair Value	$55.33
Current Price	$101.18
Upside	-45.31%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	2.03%	0.78%	0.83	0.76	0.76	0.77	0.76	0.75	0.76	0.76	0.77	0.78
YoY Growth	-	-	8.93%	0.43%	-0.62%	0.59%	1.12%	-0.88%	-0.36%	-1.48%	-1.24%	1.76%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.86%	1.29%	1.51%	1.50%	1.63%	1.86%	2.21%	2.58%	3.08%	3.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22,910.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7,314.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15,596.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,582.00	2,863.75	1,718.25
Cash Retained (M)	15,596.00	15,596.00	15,596.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,582.00	-2,863.75	-1,718.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,014.00	12,732.25	13,877.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8,039.00	8,039.00	8,039.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.37	1.58	1.73
LTM Dividend per Share	0.91	0.91	0.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.37	1.58	1.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.28	2.49	2.64
WACC / Discount Rate	7.30%	7.30%	7.30%
Growth Rate	1.44%	2.44%	3.44%
Fair Value	$39.42	$52.49	$70.52
Upside / Downside	-61.04%	-48.12%	-30.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22,910.00	23,468.61	24,040.84	24,627.03	25,227.51	25,842.63	26,617.91
Payout Ratio	31.92%	43.54%	55.15%	66.77%	78.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7,314.00	10,218.22	13,259.72	16,443.46	19,774.58	23,258.36	24,621.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.30%	7.30%	7.30%
Growth Rate	1.44%	2.44%	3.44%
Year 1 PV (M)	9,429.65	9,522.61	9,615.57
Year 2 PV (M)	11,292.11	11,515.85	11,741.78
Year 3 PV (M)	12,922.74	13,308.71	13,702.28
Year 4 PV (M)	14,341.32	14,915.26	15,506.25
Year 5 PV (M)	15,566.16	16,348.71	17,162.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)	382,794.21	402,038.24	422,048.56
Equity Value (M)	446,346.20	467,649.38	489,776.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	8,039.00	8,039.00	8,039.00
Fair Value	$55.52	$58.17	$60.93
Upside / Downside	-45.12%	-42.51%	-39.79%

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Sector

Walmart Inc. (WMT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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