DDM Analysis: WINA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$140.92 - $240.24	$184.02
Multi-Stage	$193.79 - $211.66	$202.56
Blended Fair Value	$193.29
Current Price	$502.49
Upside	-61.53%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	62.32%	3.74%	10.57	11.88	5.24	9.02	3.87	0.94	0.59	0.48	0.42	0.33
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.99%	126.73%	-41.93%	133.03%	312.59%	58.95%	22.94%	15.60%	24.31%	-95.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.36%	3.28%	1.63%	3.99%	2.08%	0.71%	0.31%	0.37%	0.37%	0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	41.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	39.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.26	5.16	3.10
Cash Retained (M)	1.55	1.55	1.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.26	-5.16	-3.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-6.70	-3.61	-1.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.68	3.68	3.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-1.82	-0.98	-0.42
LTM Dividend per Share	10.80	10.80	10.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-1.82	-0.98	-0.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.98	9.82	10.38
WACC / Discount Rate	8.22%	8.22%	8.22%
Growth Rate	1.74%	2.74%	3.74%
Fair Value	$140.92	$184.02	$240.24
Upside / Downside	-71.96%	-63.38%	-52.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	41.28	42.41	43.57	44.76	45.98	47.24	48.66
Payout Ratio	96.24%	94.99%	93.74%	92.50%	91.25%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	39.73	40.28	40.84	41.40	41.96	42.52	45.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.22%	8.22%	8.22%
Growth Rate	1.74%	2.74%	3.74%
Year 1 PV (M)	36.86	37.22	37.59
Year 2 PV (M)	34.20	34.87	35.55
Year 3 PV (M)	31.72	32.66	33.63
Year 4 PV (M)	29.42	30.59	31.80
Year 5 PV (M)	27.28	28.64	30.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	553.04	580.76	609.58
Equity Value (M)	712.52	744.76	778.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.68	3.68	3.68
Fair Value	$193.79	$202.56	$211.66
Upside / Downside	-61.43%	-59.69%	-57.88%

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Winmark Corporation (WINA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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