Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk (WIIM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,115.72 - $6,193.24$4,319.81
Multi-Stage$2,389.88 - $2,606.21$2,496.11
Blended Fair Value$3,407.96
Current Price$1,270.00
Upside168.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS111.53%18.80%107.1572.8021.8620.753.542.530.0015.6925.3013.66
YoY Growth--47.18%233.02%5.37%485.71%40.00%0.00%-100.00%-38.00%85.19%-28.57%
Dividend Yield--16.48%6.07%2.51%4.57%0.40%3.20%0.00%6.03%5.60%3.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)376,136.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134,510.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)241,625.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75,227.2147,017.0028,210.20
Cash Retained (M)241,625.92241,625.92241,625.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-75,227.21-47,017.00-28,210.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)166,398.72194,608.92213,415.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,074.892,074.892,074.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share80.2093.79102.86
LTM Dividend per Share64.8364.8364.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share80.2093.79102.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend145.02158.62167.68
WACC / Discount Rate10.41%10.41%10.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,115.72$4,319.81$6,193.24
Upside / Downside145.33%240.14%387.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)376,136.04400,584.88426,622.90454,353.39483,886.36515,338.97530,799.14
Payout Ratio35.76%46.61%57.46%68.30%79.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134,510.11186,707.90245,123.08310,343.41383,006.72463,805.07490,989.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.41%10.41%10.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)167,515.41169,103.23170,691.05
Year 2 PV (M)197,318.75201,077.12204,870.94
Year 3 PV (M)224,139.67230,573.92237,130.14
Year 4 PV (M)248,184.52257,728.99267,546.15
Year 5 PV (M)269,647.16282,671.22296,193.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,851,933.474,037,983.304,231,153.69
Equity Value (M)4,958,738.985,179,137.785,407,585.71
Shares Outstanding (M)2,074.892,074.892,074.89
Fair Value$2,389.88$2,496.11$2,606.21
Upside / Downside88.18%96.54%105.21%

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