DDM Analysis: WHC.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$145.87 - $243.20	$227.92
Multi-Stage	$39.72 - $43.46	$41.55
Blended Fair Value	$134.73
Current Price	$5.43
Upside	2,381.31%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-10.83%	0.00%	0.21	0.48	0.78	0.10	0.00	0.38	0.57	0.23	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-55.10%	-38.64%	700.56%	0.00%	-100.00%	-32.84%	147.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.95%	5.87%	11.60%	2.01%	0.00%	26.59%	15.51%	3.96%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,004.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	568.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	436.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	200.80	125.50	75.30
Cash Retained (M)	436.00	436.00	436.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-200.80	-125.50	-75.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	235.20	310.50	360.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	821.01	821.01	821.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.38	0.44
LTM Dividend per Share	0.69	0.69	0.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.38	0.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.98	1.07	1.13
WACC / Discount Rate	6.21%	6.21%	6.21%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$145.87	$227.92	$243.20
Upside / Downside	2,586.44%	4,097.35%	4,378.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,004.00	1,069.26	1,138.76	1,212.78	1,291.61	1,375.57	1,416.83
Payout Ratio	56.57%	63.26%	69.94%	76.63%	83.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	568.00	676.40	796.50	929.35	1,076.10	1,238.01	1,310.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.21%	6.21%	6.21%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	630.89	636.87	642.85
Year 2 PV (M)	692.91	706.11	719.44
Year 3 PV (M)	754.09	775.73	797.79
Year 4 PV (M)	814.41	845.73	877.95
Year 5 PV (M)	873.90	916.11	959.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,842.01	30,235.09	31,681.49
Equity Value (M)	32,608.22	34,115.65	35,679.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	821.01	821.01	821.01
Fair Value	$39.72	$41.55	$43.46
Upside / Downside	631.44%	665.26%	700.34%

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Whitehaven Coal Limited (WHC.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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