DDM Analysis: WDC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.84 - $26.93	$24.07
Multi-Stage	$34.15 - $37.87	$35.97
Blended Fair Value	$30.02
Current Price	$131.31
Upside	-77.14%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-40.60%	-19.73%	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.64	1.61	1.63	1.58	1.28
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	1.88%	-1.52%	3.31%	23.71%	17.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.03%	4.28%	3.69%	2.42%	2.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,557.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	83.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,474.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	511.40	319.63	191.78
Cash Retained (M)	2,474.00	2,474.00	2,474.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-511.40	-319.63	-191.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,962.60	2,154.38	2,282.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	363.25	363.25	363.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.40	5.93	6.28
LTM Dividend per Share	0.23	0.23	0.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.40	5.93	6.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.63	6.16	6.51
WACC / Discount Rate	10.93%	10.93%	10.93%
Growth Rate	-12.67%	-11.67%	-10.67%
Fair Value	$20.84	$24.07	$26.93
Upside / Downside	-84.13%	-81.67%	-79.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,557.00	2,258.60	1,995.02	1,762.20	1,556.55	1,374.90	1,416.14
Payout Ratio	3.25%	20.60%	37.95%	55.30%	72.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	83.00	465.20	757.06	974.47	1,130.82	1,237.41	1,309.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.93%	10.93%	10.93%
Growth Rate	-12.67%	-11.67%	-10.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	414.61	419.36	424.11
Year 2 PV (M)	601.37	615.22	629.23
Year 3 PV (M)	689.89	713.86	738.39
Year 4 PV (M)	713.53	746.78	781.17
Year 5 PV (M)	695.88	736.65	779.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,289.27	9,833.44	10,402.82
Equity Value (M)	12,404.56	13,065.31	13,755.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	363.25	363.25	363.25
Fair Value	$34.15	$35.97	$37.87
Upside / Downside	-73.99%	-72.61%	-71.16%

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Western Digital Corporation (WDC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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