DDM Analysis: WD

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$56.54 - $109.39	$77.60
Multi-Stage	$50.59 - $55.08	$52.80
Blended Fair Value	$65.20
Current Price	$83.62
Upside	-22.03%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.92%	0.00%	2.66	2.55	2.41	1.93	1.36	1.12	0.94	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	4.48%	5.85%	24.35%	42.12%	21.67%	18.53%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.12%	2.58%	3.16%	1.49%	1.32%	2.78%	1.84%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	114.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	91.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	23.00	14.37	8.62
Cash Retained (M)	23.82	23.82	23.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-23.00	-14.37	-8.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.82	9.44	15.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	33.32	33.32	33.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.28	0.46
LTM Dividend per Share	2.74	2.74	2.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.28	0.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.76	3.02	3.19
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	4.74%	5.74%	6.74%
Fair Value	$56.54	$77.60	$109.39
Upside / Downside	-32.39%	-7.20%	30.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	114.99	121.60	128.58	135.97	143.77	152.03	156.59
Payout Ratio	79.29%	81.43%	83.57%	85.72%	87.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	91.18	99.02	107.46	116.54	126.32	136.83	144.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	4.74%	5.74%	6.74%
Year 1 PV (M)	89.28	90.13	90.99
Year 2 PV (M)	87.36	89.04	90.73
Year 3 PV (M)	85.43	87.90	90.42
Year 4 PV (M)	83.49	86.72	90.05
Year 5 PV (M)	81.54	85.51	89.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,258.74	1,319.99	1,383.60
Equity Value (M)	1,685.85	1,759.30	1,835.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	33.32	33.32	33.32
Fair Value	$50.59	$52.80	$55.08
Upside / Downside	-39.50%	-36.86%	-34.13%

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Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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