DDM Analysis: WBS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$105.80 - $228.38	$151.14
Multi-Stage	$77.91 - $85.04	$81.41
Blended Fair Value	$116.28
Current Price	$59.44
Upside	95.62%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.29%	15.07%	1.64	1.66	1.48	0.86	0.87	0.84	0.69	0.56	0.53	0.48
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.30%	12.26%	71.10%	-0.11%	2.97%	22.46%	21.48%	5.71%	10.57%	20.07%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.18%	3.35%	3.75%	1.54%	1.57%	3.67%	1.30%	1.02%	1.07%	1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	924.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	270.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)	654.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	184.95	115.59	69.36
Cash Retained (M)	654.60	654.60	654.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-184.95	-115.59	-69.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)	469.65	539.00	585.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	167.53	167.53	167.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.80	3.22	3.49
LTM Dividend per Share	1.61	1.61	1.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.80	3.22	3.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.42	4.83	5.11
WACC / Discount Rate	9.90%	9.90%	9.90%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$105.80	$151.14	$228.38
Upside / Downside	77.99%	154.27%	284.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	924.75	984.86	1,048.87	1,117.05	1,189.66	1,266.98	1,304.99
Payout Ratio	29.21%	41.37%	53.53%	65.69%	77.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	270.15	407.44	561.44	733.74	926.06	1,140.29	1,207.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.90%	9.90%	9.90%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	367.25	370.73	374.21
Year 2 PV (M)	456.13	464.82	473.59
Year 3 PV (M)	537.30	552.72	568.44
Year 4 PV (M)	611.23	634.74	658.92
Year 5 PV (M)	678.38	711.15	745.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,402.90	10,905.37	11,427.06
Equity Value (M)	13,053.20	13,639.53	14,247.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	167.53	167.53	167.53
Fair Value	$77.91	$81.41	$85.04
Upside / Downside	31.08%	36.97%	43.07%

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Webster Financial Corporation (WBS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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