DDM Analysis: VCTR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$84.66 - $182.03	$120.77
Multi-Stage	$64.04 - $69.81	$66.88
Blended Fair Value	$93.82
Current Price	$64.76
Upside	44.88%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	68.54%	0.00%	1.53	1.29	1.04	0.56	0.24	0.11	0.01	2.04	0.01	0.91
YoY Growth	-	-	18.37%	23.45%	86.23%	128.87%	118.34%	794.83%	-99.39%	21,458.37%	-98.96%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.64%	3.09%	3.57%	1.94%	0.96%	0.69%	0.08%	16.58%	0.08%	7.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	294.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	143.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	150.36

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.84	36.77	22.06
Cash Retained (M)	150.36	150.36	150.36
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.84	-36.77	-22.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	91.52	113.59	128.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	66.29	66.29	66.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.38	1.71	1.94
LTM Dividend per Share	2.17	2.17	2.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.38	1.71	1.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.55	3.88	4.10
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$84.66	$120.77	$182.03
Upside / Downside	30.72%	86.49%	181.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	294.19	313.31	333.68	355.37	378.46	403.06	415.16
Payout Ratio	48.89%	57.11%	65.33%	73.56%	81.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	143.83	178.94	218.00	261.39	309.50	362.76	384.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	161.25	162.78	164.31
Year 2 PV (M)	177.05	180.42	183.82
Year 3 PV (M)	191.30	196.79	202.39
Year 4 PV (M)	204.13	211.98	220.05
Year 5 PV (M)	215.61	226.02	236.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,296.36	3,455.58	3,620.89
Equity Value (M)	4,245.70	4,433.57	4,628.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	66.29	66.29	66.29
Fair Value	$64.04	$66.88	$69.81
Upside / Downside	-1.11%	3.27%	7.80%

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Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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