DDM Analysis: UVSP

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$67.27 - $171.58	$101.62
Multi-Stage	$52.87 - $57.82	$55.30
Blended Fair Value	$78.46
Current Price	$30.02
Upside	161.36%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.17%	6.69%	0.85	0.86	0.85	0.81	0.60	0.80	0.81	0.73	0.58	0.52
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.83%	1.80%	4.38%	34.44%	-25.17%	-0.26%	10.31%	25.11%	13.41%	15.50%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.01%	4.23%	3.56%	3.03%	2.11%	4.93%	3.23%	2.64%	2.26%	2.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	86.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	61.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.39	10.87	6.52
Cash Retained (M)	61.78	61.78	61.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.39	-10.87	-6.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	44.39	50.91	55.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	29.12	29.12	29.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.52	1.75	1.90
LTM Dividend per Share	0.86	0.86	0.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.52	1.75	1.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.39	2.61	2.76
WACC / Discount Rate	8.41%	8.41%	8.41%
Growth Rate	4.69%	5.69%	6.69%
Fair Value	$67.27	$101.62	$171.58
Upside / Downside	124.10%	238.51%	471.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	86.95	91.90	97.14	102.67	108.51	114.69	118.13
Payout Ratio	28.95%	41.16%	53.37%	65.58%	77.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.18	37.83	51.84	67.33	84.41	103.22	109.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.41%	8.41%	8.41%
Growth Rate	4.69%	5.69%	6.69%
Year 1 PV (M)	34.56	34.89	35.22
Year 2 PV (M)	43.28	44.11	44.95
Year 3 PV (M)	51.36	52.84	54.36
Year 4 PV (M)	58.83	61.11	63.46
Year 5 PV (M)	65.73	68.93	72.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,285.93	1,348.53	1,413.54
Equity Value (M)	1,539.69	1,610.42	1,683.78
Shares Outstanding (M)	29.12	29.12	29.12
Fair Value	$52.87	$55.30	$57.82
Upside / Downside	76.13%	84.22%	92.62%

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Univest Financial Corporation (UVSP)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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