DDM Analysis: UTMD

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.51 - $42.36	$35.11
Multi-Stage	$54.29 - $59.70	$56.94
Blended Fair Value	$46.03
Current Price	$62.97
Upside	-26.90%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.71%	1.24%	1.30	1.30	0.96	3.49	1.25	1.25	1.22	0.90	1.19	1.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.51%	35.38%	-72.41%	178.55%	0.10%	2.14%	36.24%	-24.54%	1.82%	2.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.31%	1.84%	1.02%	3.88%	1.45%	1.33%	1.38%	0.91%	1.91%	1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	11.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.32	1.45	0.87
Cash Retained (M)	7.51	7.51	7.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.32	-1.45	-0.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5.19	6.06	6.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.29	3.29	3.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.58	1.84	2.02
LTM Dividend per Share	1.25	1.25	1.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.58	1.84	2.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.83	3.09	3.27
WACC / Discount Rate	7.62%	7.62%	7.62%
Growth Rate	-2.09%	-1.09%	-0.09%
Fair Value	$28.51	$35.11	$42.36
Upside / Downside	-54.73%	-44.24%	-32.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	11.62	11.50	11.37	11.25	11.12	11.00	11.33
Payout Ratio	35.35%	46.28%	57.21%	68.14%	79.07%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.11	5.32	6.50	7.66	8.79	9.90	10.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.62%	7.62%	7.62%
Growth Rate	-2.09%	-1.09%	-0.09%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.89	4.94	4.99
Year 2 PV (M)	5.50	5.62	5.73
Year 3 PV (M)	5.96	6.15	6.34
Year 4 PV (M)	6.29	6.56	6.83
Year 5 PV (M)	6.52	6.86	7.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)	149.31	157.09	165.20
Equity Value (M)	178.48	187.21	196.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.29	3.29	3.29
Fair Value	$54.29	$56.94	$59.70
Upside / Downside	-13.79%	-9.57%	-5.19%

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Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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