DDM Analysis: UHAL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.89 - $44.40	$28.75
Multi-Stage	$16.15 - $17.67	$16.90
Blended Fair Value	$22.83
Current Price	$57.07
Upside	-60.00%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	3.72%	6.06%	0.18	0.16	0.17	0.15	0.25	0.15	0.20	0.15	0.30	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	11.11%	-5.81%	14.66%	-40.00%	66.71%	-24.95%	33.35%	-50.00%	-25.03%	299.99%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.30%	0.26%	0.31%	0.31%	0.42%	0.50%	0.53%	0.42%	0.82%	1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	197.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	35.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	162.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	39.49	24.68	14.81
Cash Retained (M)	162.17	162.17	162.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-39.49	-24.68	-14.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	122.68	137.49	147.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	196.08	196.08	196.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.70	0.75
LTM Dividend per Share	0.18	0.18	0.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.70	0.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.81	0.88	0.93
WACC / Discount Rate	8.84%	8.84%	8.84%
Growth Rate	4.61%	5.61%	6.61%
Fair Value	$19.89	$28.75	$44.40
Upside / Downside	-65.14%	-49.62%	-22.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	197.46	208.53	220.22	232.56	245.60	259.37	267.15
Payout Ratio	17.87%	32.30%	46.72%	61.15%	75.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	35.29	67.35	102.90	142.21	185.61	233.43	247.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.84%	8.84%	8.84%
Growth Rate	4.61%	5.61%	6.61%
Year 1 PV (M)	61.30	61.88	62.47
Year 2 PV (M)	85.22	86.86	88.51
Year 3 PV (M)	107.19	110.29	113.46
Year 4 PV (M)	127.32	132.26	137.34
Year 5 PV (M)	145.72	152.82	160.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,640.66	2,769.32	2,902.94
Equity Value (M)	3,167.40	3,313.43	3,464.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	196.08	196.08	196.08
Fair Value	$16.15	$16.90	$17.67
Upside / Downside	-71.69%	-70.39%	-69.04%

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Financial Statements

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U-Haul Holding Company (UHAL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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