DDM Analysis: UFPI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$119.54 - $294.50	$178.57
Multi-Stage	$83.81 - $91.54	$87.60
Blended Fair Value	$133.09
Current Price	$93.49
Upside	42.36%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.90%	20.80%	1.37	1.16	1.00	0.68	0.52	0.42	0.37	0.33	0.30	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	18.38%	15.93%	46.39%	31.11%	24.93%	11.22%	12.57%	10.90%	7.11%	35.25%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.29%	0.94%	1.26%	0.85%	0.71%	1.17%	1.25%	1.02%	0.91%	1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	320.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	82.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	237.49

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	64.01	40.01	24.00
Cash Retained (M)	237.49	237.49	237.49
(-) Cash Required (M)	-64.01	-40.01	-24.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	173.48	197.49	213.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	58.95	58.95	58.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.94	3.35	3.62
LTM Dividend per Share	1.40	1.40	1.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.94	3.35	3.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.34	4.75	5.02
WACC / Discount Rate	9.33%	9.33%	9.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$119.54	$178.57	$294.50
Upside / Downside	27.86%	91.01%	215.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	320.04	340.84	363.00	386.59	411.72	438.49	451.64
Payout Ratio	25.79%	38.64%	51.48%	64.32%	77.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	82.55	131.69	186.86	248.65	317.68	394.64	417.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.33%	9.33%	9.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	119.31	120.44	121.58
Year 2 PV (M)	153.40	156.32	159.27
Year 3 PV (M)	184.94	190.25	195.66
Year 4 PV (M)	214.09	222.32	230.79
Year 5 PV (M)	240.97	252.60	264.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,027.89	4,222.44	4,424.44
Equity Value (M)	4,940.60	5,164.39	5,396.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	58.95	58.95	58.95
Fair Value	$83.81	$87.60	$91.54
Upside / Downside	-10.36%	-6.30%	-2.09%

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Financial Statements

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UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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