DDM Analysis: TWD.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.76 - $4.23	$3.45
Multi-Stage	$5.53 - $6.06	$5.79
Blended Fair Value	$4.62
Current Price	$2.70
Upside	71.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	-1.81%	0.13	0.11	0.08	0.11	0.07	0.00	0.22	0.19	0.18	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	16.35%	41.24%	-23.65%	43.60%	0.00%	-100.00%	15.73%	3.96%	4.01%	8.69%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.90%	4.66%	3.75%	3.84%	2.08%	0.00%	5.84%	4.67%	4.87%	5.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	11.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.22

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.26	1.42	0.85
Cash Retained (M)	2.22	2.22	2.22
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.26	-1.42	-0.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.05	0.80	1.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	36.99	36.99	36.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.02	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.02	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.24	0.27	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	7.24%	7.24%	7.24%
Growth Rate	-1.49%	-0.49%	0.51%
Fair Value	$2.76	$3.45	$4.23
Upside / Downside	2.40%	27.78%	56.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	11.32	11.27	11.21	11.16	11.10	11.05	11.38
Payout Ratio	80.43%	82.34%	84.26%	86.17%	88.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.11	9.28	9.45	9.61	9.78	9.94	10.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.24%	7.24%	7.24%
Growth Rate	-1.49%	-0.49%	0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.56	8.65	8.74
Year 2 PV (M)	8.05	8.21	8.38
Year 3 PV (M)	7.56	7.80	8.03
Year 4 PV (M)	7.10	7.40	7.70
Year 5 PV (M)	6.67	7.01	7.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	166.45	175.07	184.05
Equity Value (M)	204.40	214.14	224.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	36.99	36.99	36.99
Fair Value	$5.53	$5.79	$6.06
Upside / Downside	104.66%	114.42%	124.56%

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Tamawood Limited (TWD.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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