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Definitive Analysis

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TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.26 - $117.77$45.92
Multi-Stage$16.74 - $18.27$17.49
Blended Fair Value$31.70
Current Price$5.77
Upside449.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.05%16.35%1.300.001.231.130.000.840.730.560.540.48
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%8.79%0.00%-100.00%14.38%30.60%5.03%11.92%67.96%
Dividend Yield--18.57%0.00%10.22%6.50%0.00%14.65%5.31%4.71%3.84%4.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.784.242.54
Cash Retained (M)11.1011.1011.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.78-4.24-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.326.878.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.1940.1940.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.170.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.170.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.26$45.92$117.77
Upside / Downside355.05%695.82%1,941.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.9136.1238.4640.9643.6346.4647.86
Payout Ratio67.26%71.81%76.35%80.90%85.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.8125.9329.3733.1437.2841.8244.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.7423.9724.19
Year 2 PV (M)24.6125.0825.55
Year 3 PV (M)25.4226.1526.90
Year 4 PV (M)26.1827.1928.22
Year 5 PV (M)26.8828.1829.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)545.96572.33599.71
Equity Value (M)672.80702.90734.11
Shares Outstanding (M)40.1940.1940.19
Fair Value$16.74$17.49$18.27
Upside / Downside190.15%203.13%216.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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