DDM Analysis: TOTL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,010.89 - $4,251.09	$2,851.68
Multi-Stage	$2,895.60 - $3,174.92	$3,032.62
Blended Fair Value	$2,942.15
Current Price	$845.00
Upside	248.18%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	1.34%	40.00	100.00	25.00	10.00	10.00	40.00	50.00	45.00	40.00	30.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-60.00%	300.00%	150.00%	0.00%	-75.00%	-20.00%	11.11%	12.50%	33.33%	-14.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.02%	20.83%	7.86%	3.42%	2.98%	12.90%	8.13%	6.38%	4.94%	4.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	380,340.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	255,750.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	124,590.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	76,068.13	47,542.58	28,525.55
Cash Retained (M)	124,590.63	124,590.63	124,590.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-76,068.13	-47,542.58	-28,525.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)	48,522.50	77,048.05	96,065.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,410.00	3,410.00	3,410.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	14.23	22.59	28.17
LTM Dividend per Share	75.00	75.00	75.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	14.23	22.59	28.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	89.23	97.59	103.17
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	1.90%	2.90%	3.90%
Fair Value	$2,010.89	$2,851.68	$4,251.09
Upside / Downside	137.97%	237.48%	403.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	380,340.63	391,365.30	402,709.53	414,382.59	426,394.01	438,753.59	451,916.20
Payout Ratio	67.24%	71.79%	76.35%	80.90%	85.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	255,750.00	280,976.35	307,450.26	335,222.84	364,347.16	394,878.23	418,022.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	1.90%	2.90%	3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)	261,459.53	264,025.41	266,591.28
Year 2 PV (M)	266,222.20	271,473.07	276,775.23
Year 3 PV (M)	270,108.17	278,138.73	286,326.90
Year 4 PV (M)	273,183.34	284,065.96	295,270.53
Year 5 PV (M)	275,509.58	289,296.35	303,629.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,527,511.87	8,954,236.69	9,397,876.04
Equity Value (M)	9,873,994.68	10,341,236.20	10,826,469.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,410.00	3,410.00	3,410.00
Fair Value	$2,895.60	$3,032.62	$3,174.92
Upside / Downside	242.67%	258.89%	275.73%

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PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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