DDM Analysis: TMP

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$70.57 - $117.78	$91.35
Multi-Stage	$88.59 - $96.98	$92.70
Blended Fair Value	$92.03
Current Price	$66.21
Upside	38.99%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.73%	3.87%	2.45	2.41	2.34	2.26	2.19	2.14	2.07	1.93	1.86	1.77
YoY Growth	-	-	1.56%	2.82%	3.55%	3.37%	2.36%	3.38%	7.26%	3.85%	4.69%	5.95%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.88%	4.93%	3.54%	2.89%	2.65%	2.98%	2.69%	2.55%	2.31%	2.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	84.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	35.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)	48.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16.90	10.56	6.34
Cash Retained (M)	48.82	48.82	48.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16.90	-10.56	-6.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31.92	38.26	42.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	14.32	14.32	14.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.23	2.67	2.97
LTM Dividend per Share	2.49	2.49	2.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.23	2.67	2.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.72	5.16	5.46
WACC / Discount Rate	8.68%	8.68%	8.68%
Growth Rate	1.87%	2.87%	3.87%
Fair Value	$70.57	$91.35	$117.78
Upside / Downside	6.58%	37.97%	77.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	84.48	86.90	89.39	91.96	94.59	97.31	100.22
Payout Ratio	42.22%	51.77%	61.33%	70.89%	80.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	35.67	44.99	54.83	65.19	76.09	87.57	92.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.68%	8.68%	8.68%
Growth Rate	1.87%	2.87%	3.87%
Year 1 PV (M)	41.00	41.40	41.80
Year 2 PV (M)	45.52	46.42	47.33
Year 3 PV (M)	49.32	50.78	52.28
Year 4 PV (M)	52.46	54.55	56.70
Year 5 PV (M)	55.01	57.77	60.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,025.68	1,077.02	1,130.40
Equity Value (M)	1,268.99	1,327.94	1,389.14
Shares Outstanding (M)	14.32	14.32	14.32
Fair Value	$88.59	$92.70	$96.98
Upside / Downside	33.80%	40.01%	46.47%

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Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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