DDM Analysis: TLDN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$919.10 - $1,428.20	$1,154.48
Multi-Stage	$2,116.23 - $2,331.41	$2,221.70
Blended Fair Value	$1,688.09
Current Price	$700.00
Upside	141.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	12.23	13.50	6.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-9.38%	118.78%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.42%	3.00%	1.21%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,260,982.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	399,958.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	861,024.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	252,196.52	157,622.82	94,573.69
Cash Retained (M)	861,024.55	861,024.55	861,024.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-252,196.52	-157,622.82	-94,573.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	608,828.03	703,401.72	766,450.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12,946.53	12,946.53	12,946.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share	47.03	54.33	59.20
LTM Dividend per Share	30.89	30.89	30.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share	47.03	54.33	59.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	77.92	85.22	90.09
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$919.10	$1,154.48	$1,428.20
Upside / Downside	31.30%	64.93%	104.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,260,982.58	1,248,372.76	1,235,889.03	1,223,530.14	1,211,294.84	1,199,181.89	1,235,157.35
Payout Ratio	31.72%	43.37%	55.03%	66.69%	78.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	399,958.04	541,473.86	680,119.37	815,937.83	948,971.90	1,079,263.70	1,142,520.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	504,198.43	509,343.31	514,488.19
Year 2 PV (M)	589,702.72	601,798.87	614,017.82
Year 3 PV (M)	658,762.76	679,135.45	699,923.89
Year 4 PV (M)	713,426.63	742,994.83	773,472.75
Year 5 PV (M)	755,522.72	794,864.54	835,828.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,176,208.79	25,435,120.08	26,745,937.12
Equity Value (M)	27,397,822.05	28,763,257.07	30,183,668.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	12,946.53	12,946.53	12,946.53
Fair Value	$2,116.23	$2,221.70	$2,331.41
Upside / Downside	202.32%	217.39%	233.06%

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Financial Statements

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PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk (TLDN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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