DDM Analysis: TKNO4.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$512.77 - $2,399.42	$1,140.44
Multi-Stage	$275.97 - $301.58	$288.54
Blended Fair Value	$714.49
Current Price	$175.00
Upside	308.28%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	5.24%	3.76	3.68	5.29	2.31	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.45
YoY Growth	-	-	2.20%	-30.37%	129.09%	1,288.16%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-35.91%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.30%	5.04%	9.04%	3.30%	0.35%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	35.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	18.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	17.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.11	4.45	2.67
Cash Retained (M)	17.05	17.05	17.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.11	-4.45	-2.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9.93	12.60	14.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.95	2.95	2.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.37	4.27	4.88
LTM Dividend per Share	6.28	6.28	6.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.37	4.27	4.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.65	10.56	11.16
WACC / Discount Rate	7.49%	7.49%	7.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$512.77	$1,140.44	$2,399.42
Upside / Downside	193.01%	551.68%	1,271.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	35.57	37.88	40.34	42.96	45.76	48.73	50.19
Payout Ratio	52.08%	59.66%	67.25%	74.83%	82.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	18.52	22.60	27.13	32.15	37.71	43.86	46.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.49%	7.49%	7.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.83	21.03	21.22
Year 2 PV (M)	23.04	23.48	23.92
Year 3 PV (M)	25.17	25.89	26.63
Year 4 PV (M)	27.21	28.25	29.33
Year 5 PV (M)	29.16	30.57	32.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)	688.16	721.39	755.91
Equity Value (M)	813.56	850.61	889.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.95	2.95	2.95
Fair Value	$275.97	$288.54	$301.58
Upside / Downside	57.70%	64.88%	72.33%

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Tekno S.A. Indústria e Comércio (TKNO4.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener