DDM Analysis: TECTP

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$79.23 - $93.35	$87.48
Multi-Stage	$18.13 - $19.83	$18.96
Blended Fair Value	$53.22
Current Price	$10.84
Upside	390.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.94%	0.00%	0.67	0.51	0.48	0.41	0.22	0.20	0.12	1.53	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	30.80%	7.96%	16.63%	83.25%	9.22%	77.18%	-92.49%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.33%	5.03%	4.76%	3.79%	2.34%	2.72%	1.14%	15.16%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.65	0.41	0.25
Cash Retained (M)	0.68	0.68	0.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.65	-0.41	-0.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.02	0.27	0.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.97	6.97	6.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.04	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.37	0.37	0.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.04	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.38	0.41	0.43
WACC / Discount Rate	5.74%	5.74%	5.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$79.23	$87.48	$93.35
Upside / Downside	630.90%	707.00%	761.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3.27	3.48	3.71	3.95	4.21	4.48	4.62
Payout Ratio	79.28%	81.42%	83.57%	85.71%	87.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.59	2.84	3.10	3.39	3.70	4.03	4.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.74%	5.74%	5.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.66	2.68	2.71
Year 2 PV (M)	2.72	2.77	2.83
Year 3 PV (M)	2.79	2.87	2.95
Year 4 PV (M)	2.85	2.96	3.07
Year 5 PV (M)	2.91	3.05	3.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)	112.43	117.86	123.50
Equity Value (M)	126.36	132.20	138.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.97	6.97	6.97
Fair Value	$18.13	$18.96	$19.83
Upside / Downside	67.22%	74.94%	82.96%

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Tectonic Financial, Inc. (TECTP)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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