DDM Analysis: TABREED.AE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.39 - $39.53	$37.05
Multi-Stage	$6.31 - $6.90	$6.60
Blended Fair Value	$21.82
Current Price	$2.87
Upside	660.40%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.32%	29.62%	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.05	0.10	0.09	0.08	0.06	0.06	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	14.95%	130.64%	6.54%	-45.24%	10.53%	18.75%	23.08%	8.33%	-6.19%	427.07%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.75%	4.15%	1.95%	2.22%	3.66%	4.99%	5.06%	4.09%	3.15%	5.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	564.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	440.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)	124.35

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	112.99	70.62	42.37
Cash Retained (M)	124.35	124.35	124.35
(-) Cash Required (M)	-112.99	-70.62	-42.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11.37	53.74	81.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,841.96	2,841.96	2,841.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.02	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.02	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.16	0.17	0.18
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$20.39	$37.05	$39.53
Upside / Downside	610.47%	1,190.88%	1,277.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	564.94	601.66	640.76	682.41	726.77	774.01	797.23
Payout Ratio	77.99%	80.39%	82.79%	85.20%	87.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	440.58	483.67	530.51	581.38	636.63	696.61	737.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	450.64	454.91	459.18
Year 2 PV (M)	460.51	469.29	478.14
Year 3 PV (M)	470.21	483.71	497.46
Year 4 PV (M)	479.73	498.18	517.15
Year 5 PV (M)	489.07	512.69	537.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,581.27	16,333.85	17,115.23
Equity Value (M)	17,931.43	18,752.62	19,604.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,841.96	2,841.96	2,841.96
Fair Value	$6.31	$6.60	$6.90
Upside / Downside	119.84%	129.91%	140.36%

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Financial Statements

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National Central Cooling Company PJSC (TABREED.AE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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