DDM Analysis: SXC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.20 - $56.32	$30.25
Multi-Stage	$13.35 - $14.56	$13.94
Blended Fair Value	$22.10
Current Price	$8.16
Upside	170.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	49.12%	25.76%	0.44	0.36	0.28	0.23	0.23	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.33
YoY Growth	-	-	22.48%	30.08%	17.41%	1.01%	290.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	636.84%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.77%	3.18%	3.07%	2.64%	3.32%	1.55%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	5.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	65.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	41.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.02	8.14	4.88
Cash Retained (M)	23.80	23.80	23.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.02	-8.14	-4.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	10.78	15.66	18.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	85.60	85.60	85.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.18	0.22
LTM Dividend per Share	0.48	0.48	0.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.18	0.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.61	0.67	0.70
WACC / Discount Rate	8.84%	8.84%	8.84%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$19.20	$30.25	$56.32
Upside / Downside	135.32%	270.72%	590.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	65.10	69.33	73.84	78.64	83.75	89.19	91.87
Payout Ratio	63.44%	68.75%	74.06%	79.38%	84.69%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	41.30	47.67	54.69	62.42	70.93	80.27	84.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.84%	8.84%	8.84%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	43.38	43.79	44.21
Year 2 PV (M)	45.30	46.16	47.03
Year 3 PV (M)	47.06	48.41	49.79
Year 4 PV (M)	48.66	50.54	52.46
Year 5 PV (M)	50.13	52.55	55.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	908.25	952.12	997.67
Equity Value (M)	1,142.78	1,193.57	1,246.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	85.60	85.60	85.60
Fair Value	$13.35	$13.94	$14.56
Upside / Downside	63.61%	70.88%	78.41%

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SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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