DDM Analysis: SUM

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17.49 - $37.47	$24.92
Multi-Stage	$12.42 - $13.59	$12.99
Blended Fair Value	$18.95
Current Price	$38.71
Upside	-51.04%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2022	2021	2019	2018	2017	2016	2016	2014
DPS	46.71%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.18	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-30.83%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-96.50%	-84.85%	-54.64%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.01%	0.01%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.04%	0.34%	0.92%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	147.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)	146.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	29.47	18.42	11.05
Cash Retained (M)	146.90	146.90	146.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-29.47	-18.42	-11.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	117.42	128.48	135.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	160.07	160.07	160.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.73	0.80	0.85
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.73	0.80	0.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.74	0.81	0.85
WACC / Discount Rate	9.94%	9.94%	9.94%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17.49	$24.92	$37.47
Upside / Downside	-54.83%	-35.64%	-3.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	147.37	156.94	167.15	178.01	189.58	201.90	207.96
Payout Ratio	0.32%	18.25%	36.19%	54.13%	72.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.47	28.65	60.49	96.35	136.62	181.71	192.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.94%	9.94%	9.94%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	25.81	26.06	26.30
Year 2 PV (M)	49.11	50.04	50.99
Year 3 PV (M)	70.48	72.50	74.56
Year 4 PV (M)	90.04	93.50	97.07
Year 5 PV (M)	107.91	113.12	118.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,645.23	1,724.70	1,807.21
Equity Value (M)	1,988.59	2,079.93	2,174.66
Shares Outstanding (M)	160.07	160.07	160.07
Fair Value	$12.42	$12.99	$13.59
Upside / Downside	-67.91%	-66.43%	-64.90%

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Financial Statements

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Summit Materials, Inc. (SUM)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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