DDM Analysis: SUL.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$102.31 - $403.50	$280.63
Multi-Stage	$51.60 - $56.32	$53.91
Blended Fair Value	$167.27
Current Price	$14.24
Upside	1,074.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	36.75%	13.07%	1.18	1.00	0.76	0.81	0.52	0.25	0.42	0.40	0.37	0.36
YoY Growth	-	-	17.84%	31.17%	-6.10%	56.29%	110.85%	-41.88%	5.45%	8.14%	3.54%	4.07%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.29%	7.37%	6.68%	9.58%	4.03%	3.07%	5.11%	5.02%	4.59%	4.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	461.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	424.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	37.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	92.38	57.74	34.64
Cash Retained (M)	37.30	37.30	37.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-92.38	-57.74	-34.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-55.08	-20.44	2.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	227.66	227.66	227.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.24	-0.09	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	1.87	1.87	1.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.24	-0.09	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.62	1.78	1.88
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$102.31	$280.63	$403.50
Upside / Downside	618.48%	1,870.72%	2,733.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	461.90	491.92	523.90	557.95	594.22	632.84	651.83
Payout Ratio	91.92%	91.54%	91.15%	90.77%	90.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	424.60	450.31	477.56	506.45	537.08	569.56	602.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	416.22	420.16	424.11
Year 2 PV (M)	408.00	415.77	423.61
Year 3 PV (M)	399.93	411.41	423.11
Year 4 PV (M)	392.01	407.09	422.60
Year 5 PV (M)	384.25	402.81	422.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,745.92	10,216.65	10,705.39
Equity Value (M)	11,746.32	12,273.88	12,820.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	227.66	227.66	227.66
Fair Value	$51.60	$53.91	$56.32
Upside / Downside	262.33%	278.61%	295.48%

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Super Retail Group Limited (SUL.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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