DDM Analysis: STX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$70.36 - $108.60	$88.13
Multi-Stage	$414.52 - $458.84	$436.23
Blended Fair Value	$262.18
Current Price	$252.79
Upside	3.71%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-2.27%	-1.01%	2.74	2.67	2.65	2.78	2.96	3.07	3.25	3.31	2.56	3.32
YoY Growth	-	-	2.56%	0.52%	-4.59%	-6.01%	-3.57%	-5.61%	-1.79%	29.41%	-22.83%	9.49%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.93%	2.45%	4.03%	5.23%	3.51%	6.30%	6.84%	6.99%	7.71%	8.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,713.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	606.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,107.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	342.60	214.13	128.48
Cash Retained (M)	1,107.00	1,107.00	1,107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-342.60	-214.13	-128.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	764.40	892.88	978.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	219.25	219.25	219.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.49	4.07	4.46
LTM Dividend per Share	2.76	2.76	2.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.49	4.07	4.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.25	6.84	7.23
WACC / Discount Rate	4.23%	4.23%	4.23%
Growth Rate	-4.27%	-3.27%	-2.27%
Fair Value	$70.36	$88.13	$108.60
Upside / Downside	-72.17%	-65.14%	-57.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,713.00	1,656.98	1,602.80	1,550.38	1,499.68	1,450.64	1,494.16
Payout Ratio	35.38%	46.30%	57.23%	68.15%	79.08%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	606.00	767.20	917.22	1,056.60	1,185.88	1,305.58	1,382.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.23%	4.23%	4.23%
Growth Rate	-4.27%	-3.27%	-2.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	728.43	736.04	743.65
Year 2 PV (M)	826.86	844.22	861.77
Year 3 PV (M)	904.37	933.01	962.25
Year 4 PV (M)	963.74	1,004.64	1,046.83
Year 5 PV (M)	1,007.39	1,061.12	1,117.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	86,453.75	91,064.59	95,870.08
Equity Value (M)	90,884.54	95,643.62	100,601.70
Shares Outstanding (M)	219.25	219.25	219.25
Fair Value	$414.52	$436.23	$458.84
Upside / Downside	63.98%	72.57%	81.51%

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112610.KS	CS Wind Corporation	2.43%	$982.89	21.73%
300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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