DDM Analysis: SPTO.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,607.12 - $7,878.04	$4,142.52
Multi-Stage	$2,832.14 - $3,102.17	$2,964.63
Blended Fair Value	$3,553.58
Current Price	$660.00
Upside	438.42%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.57%	0.00%	60.00	50.00	50.00	35.00	40.00	38.00	65.93	77.78	61.37	54.24
YoY Growth	-	-	20.00%	0.00%	42.86%	-12.50%	5.26%	-42.36%	-15.24%	26.75%	13.14%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.76%	8.93%	9.09%	6.31%	8.44%	6.28%	6.87%	6.54%	5.16%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	279,669.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	190,400.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	89,269.65

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	55,933.93	34,958.71	20,975.22
Cash Retained (M)	89,269.65	89,269.65	89,269.65
(-) Cash Required (M)	-55,933.93	-34,958.71	-20,975.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	33,335.72	54,310.95	68,294.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,700.00	2,700.00	2,700.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	12.35	20.12	25.29
LTM Dividend per Share	70.52	70.52	70.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	12.35	20.12	25.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	82.87	90.63	95.81
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	3.17%	4.17%	5.17%
Fair Value	$2,607.12	$4,142.52	$7,878.04
Upside / Downside	295.02%	527.65%	1,093.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	279,669.65	291,319.58	303,454.80	316,095.52	329,262.81	342,978.59	353,267.95
Payout Ratio	68.08%	72.46%	76.85%	81.23%	85.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	190,400.00	211,102.57	233,199.53	256,771.12	281,901.86	308,680.73	326,772.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	3.17%	4.17%	5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)	196,417.58	198,321.49	200,225.39
Year 2 PV (M)	201,883.74	205,816.49	209,787.18
Year 3 PV (M)	206,826.75	212,899.64	219,090.27
Year 4 PV (M)	211,273.63	219,585.14	228,139.50
Year 5 PV (M)	215,250.28	225,886.76	236,939.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,615,121.51	6,942,004.36	7,281,683.57
Equity Value (M)	7,646,773.49	8,004,513.88	8,375,865.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,700.00	2,700.00	2,700.00
Fair Value	$2,832.14	$2,964.63	$3,102.17
Upside / Downside	329.11%	349.19%	370.03%

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PT Surya Pertiwi Tbk (SPTO.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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