DDM Analysis: SLCA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.38 - $22.18	$17.27
Multi-Stage	$13.97 - $15.31	$14.63
Blended Fair Value	$15.95
Current Price	$15.43
Upside	3.36%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	-74.15%	-47.06%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.24	0.25	0.26	0.19	0.34	0.34
YoY Growth	-	-	-85.98%	530.77%	-99.58%	-66.73%	-6.63%	-2.28%	34.72%	-43.56%	-0.28%	102.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.02%	0.00%	0.64%	13.07%	1.46%	1.01%	0.40%	1.49%	0.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	88.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	88.96

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.80	11.12	6.67
Cash Retained (M)	88.96	88.96	88.96
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.80	-11.12	-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71.16	77.84	82.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	79.05	79.05	79.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.90	0.98	1.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.90	0.98	1.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.90	0.98	1.04
WACC / Discount Rate	9.70%	9.70%	9.70%
Growth Rate	2.78%	3.78%	4.78%
Fair Value	$13.38	$17.27	$22.18
Upside / Downside	-13.30%	11.93%	43.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	88.98	92.34	95.83	99.45	103.21	107.10	110.32
Payout Ratio	0.02%	18.02%	36.01%	54.01%	72.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.02	16.64	34.51	53.71	74.31	96.39	102.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.70%	9.70%	9.70%
Growth Rate	2.78%	3.78%	4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)	15.02	15.17	15.32
Year 2 PV (M)	28.13	28.68	29.24
Year 3 PV (M)	39.53	40.69	41.88
Year 4 PV (M)	49.37	51.32	53.33
Year 5 PV (M)	57.82	60.69	63.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)	914.26	959.61	1,006.74
Equity Value (M)	1,104.14	1,156.17	1,210.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	79.05	79.05	79.05
Fair Value	$13.97	$14.63	$15.31
Upside / Downside	-9.48%	-5.21%	-0.79%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. (SLCA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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