Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Sector

Skåne-möllan AB (publ) (SKMO.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.86 - $27.74$21.70
Multi-Stage$19.65 - $21.39$20.50
Blended Fair Value$21.10
Current Price$63.60
Upside-66.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.94%0.00%1.401.401.401.201.101.101.101.101.102.60
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%16.67%9.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-57.69%85.71%
Dividend Yield--2.72%2.69%1.42%1.15%2.00%2.62%2.76%2.62%2.90%6.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.181.991.19
Cash Retained (M)0.500.500.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.18-1.99-1.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.68-1.49-0.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.0011.0011.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.24-0.14-0.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.24-0.14-0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.261.34
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$16.86$21.70$27.74
Upside / Downside-73.48%-65.88%-56.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.9016.5317.1817.8618.5619.2919.87
Payout Ratio96.86%95.48%94.11%92.74%91.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.4015.7816.1716.5616.9617.3618.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)14.2114.3514.48
Year 2 PV (M)13.1113.3613.62
Year 3 PV (M)12.0912.4412.80
Year 4 PV (M)11.1411.5812.03
Year 5 PV (M)10.2710.7811.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)155.33163.03171.02
Equity Value (M)216.15225.54235.27
Shares Outstanding (M)11.0011.0011.00
Fair Value$19.65$20.50$21.39
Upside / Downside-69.10%-67.76%-66.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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