DDM Analysis: SKF-A.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$143.99 - $254.29	$190.74
Multi-Stage	$212.09 - $232.25	$221.98
Blended Fair Value	$206.36
Current Price	$235.00
Upside	-12.19%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.01%	4.35%	8.42	7.00	7.00	6.50	3.00	6.00	5.76	5.75	5.79	5.72
YoY Growth	-	-	20.24%	0.00%	7.67%	116.69%	-49.98%	4.20%	0.11%	-0.65%	1.15%	4.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.18%	3.16%	3.42%	3.71%	1.21%	4.38%	3.58%	3.35%	3.27%	3.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,866.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,612.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,254.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	973.20	608.25	364.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,254.00	1,254.00	1,254.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-973.20	-608.25	-364.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	280.80	645.75	889.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	455.35	455.35	455.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	1.42	1.95
LTM Dividend per Share	7.93	7.93	7.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	1.42	1.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.55	9.35	9.88
WACC / Discount Rate	7.37%	7.37%	7.37%
Growth Rate	1.35%	2.35%	3.35%
Fair Value	$143.99	$190.74	$254.29
Upside / Downside	-38.73%	-18.83%	8.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,866.00	4,980.59	5,097.87	5,217.92	5,340.79	5,466.56	5,630.56
Payout Ratio	74.23%	77.38%	80.54%	83.69%	86.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,612.00	3,854.15	4,105.70	4,366.97	4,638.26	4,919.90	5,208.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.37%	7.37%	7.37%
Growth Rate	1.35%	2.35%	3.35%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,554.45	3,589.52	3,624.58
Year 2 PV (M)	3,492.00	3,561.24	3,631.17
Year 3 PV (M)	3,425.39	3,527.78	3,632.19
Year 4 PV (M)	3,355.27	3,489.66	3,628.05
Year 5 PV (M)	3,282.26	3,447.40	3,619.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	79,466.14	83,464.46	87,622.12
Equity Value (M)	96,575.50	101,080.06	105,757.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	455.35	455.35	455.35
Fair Value	$212.09	$221.98	$232.25
Upside / Downside	-9.75%	-5.54%	-1.17%

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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
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9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
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SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
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7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
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Financial Statements

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AB SKF (publ) (SKF-A.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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