DDM Analysis: SIMP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,370.28 - $2,293.28	$1,775.91
Multi-Stage	$1,856.31 - $2,038.63	$1,945.73
Blended Fair Value	$1,860.82
Current Price	$510.00
Upside	264.87%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.19%	0.00%	10.00	15.00	13.00	3.00	2.67	3.38	10.00	10.00	5.00	16.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-33.33%	15.38%	333.34%	12.26%	-21.05%	-66.15%	0.00%	100.00%	-68.75%	60.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.59%	3.97%	3.25%	0.60%	0.55%	1.61%	2.28%	1.68%	0.80%	3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,776,204.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	155,013.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,621,191.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	355,240.80	222,025.50	133,215.30
Cash Retained (M)	1,621,191.00	1,621,191.00	1,621,191.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-355,240.80	-222,025.50	-133,215.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,265,950.20	1,399,165.50	1,487,975.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	15,501.31	15,501.31	15,501.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	81.67	90.26	95.99
LTM Dividend per Share	10.00	10.00	10.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	81.67	90.26	95.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend	91.67	100.26	105.99
WACC / Discount Rate	7.95%	7.95%	7.95%
Growth Rate	1.19%	2.19%	3.19%
Fair Value	$1,370.28	$1,775.91	$2,293.28
Upside / Downside	168.68%	248.22%	349.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,776,204.00	1,815,028.71	1,854,702.05	1,895,242.59	1,936,669.27	1,979,001.46	2,038,371.50
Payout Ratio	8.73%	24.98%	41.24%	57.49%	73.75%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	155,013.00	453,426.22	764,810.95	1,089,591.69	1,428,205.30	1,781,101.31	1,885,493.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.95%	7.95%	7.95%
Growth Rate	1.19%	2.19%	3.19%
Year 1 PV (M)	415,904.43	420,014.73	424,125.04
Year 2 PV (M)	643,469.46	656,250.87	669,157.98
Year 3 PV (M)	840,861.64	866,039.06	891,714.10
Year 4 PV (M)	1,010,970.11	1,051,531.37	1,093,301.07
Year 5 PV (M)	1,156,440.31	1,214,725.40	1,275,337.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,707,589.86	25,952,863.15	27,247,847.69
Equity Value (M)	28,775,235.81	30,161,424.58	31,601,483.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	15,501.31	15,501.31	15,501.31
Fair Value	$1,856.31	$1,945.73	$2,038.63
Upside / Downside	263.98%	281.52%	299.73%

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Financial Statements

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PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk (SIMP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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