DDM Analysis: SHUR.BR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$158.90 - $314.18	$219.89
Multi-Stage	$237.04 - $260.54	$248.56
Blended Fair Value	$234.23
Current Price	$37.00
Upside	533.05%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.47%	0.00%	0.73	1.08	1.11	1.03	0.91	0.61	2.64	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-32.39%	-2.46%	7.45%	13.28%	47.74%	-76.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.03%	2.40%	2.58%	1.79%	2.56%	1.81%	10.87%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	937.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	129.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	808.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	187.59	117.24	70.35
Cash Retained (M)	808.45	808.45	808.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-187.59	-117.24	-70.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	620.87	691.21	738.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	96.72	96.72	96.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.42	7.15	7.63
LTM Dividend per Share	1.34	1.34	1.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.42	7.15	7.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.76	8.49	8.97
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	1.47%	2.47%	3.47%
Fair Value	$158.90	$219.89	$314.18
Upside / Downside	329.45%	494.30%	749.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	937.94	961.11	984.85	1,009.18	1,034.11	1,059.66	1,091.45
Payout Ratio	13.81%	29.04%	44.28%	59.52%	74.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	129.49	279.15	436.12	600.69	773.11	953.69	1,009.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	1.47%	2.47%	3.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	259.74	262.30	264.86
Year 2 PV (M)	377.58	385.06	392.61
Year 3 PV (M)	483.89	498.34	513.07
Year 4 PV (M)	579.48	602.67	626.54
Year 5 PV (M)	665.13	698.56	733.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,561.39	21,594.73	22,669.20
Equity Value (M)	22,927.21	24,041.64	25,199.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	96.72	96.72	96.72
Fair Value	$237.04	$248.56	$260.54
Upside / Downside	540.65%	571.80%	604.15%

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Financial Statements

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Shurgard Self Storage S.A. (SHUR.BR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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