DDM Analysis: SHL.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$55.98 - $176.96	$90.06
Multi-Stage	$49.06 - $53.56	$51.27
Blended Fair Value	$70.66
Current Price	$26.79
Upside	163.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	4.95%	6.21%	1.07	1.04	1.00	0.95	0.87	0.84	0.78	0.50	0.59	0.46
YoY Growth	-	-	2.93%	3.97%	5.48%	9.60%	2.93%	8.01%	55.70%	-14.69%	28.26%	-22.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.01%	4.07%	2.82%	2.88%	2.26%	2.77%	2.88%	2.04%	2.43%	2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,024.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,013.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	11.25

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	204.94	128.09	76.85
Cash Retained (M)	11.25	11.25	11.25
(-) Cash Required (M)	-204.94	-128.09	-76.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-193.69	-116.84	-65.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	478.60	478.60	478.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.40	-0.24	-0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	2.12	2.12	2.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.40	-0.24	-0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.71	1.87	1.98
WACC / Discount Rate	7.40%	7.40%	7.40%
Growth Rate	4.21%	5.21%	6.21%
Fair Value	$55.98	$90.06	$176.96
Upside / Downside	108.95%	236.15%	560.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,024.69	1,078.07	1,134.24	1,193.33	1,255.50	1,320.91	1,360.53
Payout Ratio	98.90%	97.12%	95.34%	93.56%	91.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,013.45	1,047.05	1,081.40	1,116.49	1,152.30	1,188.82	1,258.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.40%	7.40%	7.40%
Growth Rate	4.21%	5.21%	6.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	965.65	974.92	984.19
Year 2 PV (M)	919.81	937.54	955.45
Year 3 PV (M)	875.83	901.29	927.23
Year 4 PV (M)	833.65	866.12	899.52
Year 5 PV (M)	793.21	832.01	872.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	19,091.27	20,025.02	20,994.96
Equity Value (M)	23,479.42	24,536.90	25,633.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	478.60	478.60	478.60
Fair Value	$49.06	$51.27	$53.56
Upside / Downside	83.12%	91.37%	99.93%

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Sonic Healthcare Limited (SHL.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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